Jon's raffle was opened july 27th, bitcoin price here:
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Raffle closed July 30th, bitcoin price here:
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3 days after the raffle ended, bitcoin tanked approx. $100 seen here:
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Assuming the minimum grave posted is correct, It should be anywhere between $7644 and $9555 USD value of BTC when it is sent to you.
Let's say, $8,000, when the raffle ENDED that is approx. 8000/655=12.2 bitcoin
When the drop occurred, 12.2x100=$1,220 was lost.
Since then bitcoin is now $590 again, but since they transferred it out of bitcoin, the money took the worst possible route it could of by being put back into 07.
I'm not sure what rate they bought 07 for though, but if my maths right, There is AT LEAST $1,220 exactly lost, If they bought 07 at a bad price its going to be far far more.
Thought I should post some actual facts vs speculation.