I think i've hit the cap?

[0belisk]

alright lads, so lately i been botting the shit out of abby demons, and botted about 25 whips in a week, now ive gone over 25 hours, without getting a whip drop. thats pretty much physically impossible.

i usually get 2-5 whips aday depending on luck, but 25 hours of actual killing without 1 whip, seems extremely fishy to me. reckon they've made some form of drop cap for specific items?

 

[Themaulpure]

It's possible, but I haven't heard of it before.

 

[Lured Yah]

I doubt so..
just a matter of real bad luck

 

[Tenko]

Or maybe you are extremely unlucky for just the one day?

 

[0belisk]

Or maybe you are extremely unlucky for just the one day?

quite possibly, just seems rather suspicious to me

 

[AfterLyfe]

I am on 20 trips of barrows without a barrows drop, its just bad luck lol

 

[Burnley]

i've leggitly got 82 whip drop's so 25 ain't a cap i did mine in 2005 though :S

 

[0belisk]

i've leggitly got 82 whip drop's so 25 ain't a cap i did mine in 2005 though :S

25 isnt my total quantity of whips, im saying ive 25 in a week, and now im not getting any, so i think theres a possibility the whip drop cap is 25/week. just a idea however.

 

[Tenko]

You are lucky to get an average of 3 a day to be honest.

Many probably don't get one a day

 

[Sacro]

It's all the luck of the draw. If you didn't get any drops now, you probably will get more later. Continue botting like normal, your luck will change soon.

 

[Duddy_Crow]

Maybe the settings on your bot got messed up and it hasn't been picking up the whips? Just a thought.

 

[0belisk]

You are lucky to get an average of 3 a day to be honest.

Many probably don't get one a day

wouldnt exactly call it lucky, botting 24/7. so its pretty much expected to receive that quantity.

 

[Luring King]

I've been on a 43 run dead barrows streak, so you're just being a tad unlucky

 

[Zulwarn]

Yes, it is possible that JaGeX could have nerfed the drop rates but I highly doubt it. RuneScape is a game that's based on luck.

 

[0belisk]

Maybe the settings on your bot got messed up and it hasn't been picking up the whips? Just a thought.

i check for whip drops in my adventures log, whether or not you actually picked it up, if the abbysal demon dropped it, it will appear in your adventure log

 

[RuneWarez]

alright lads, so lately i been botting the shit out of abby demons, and botted about 25 whips in a week, now ive gone over 25 hours, without getting a whip drop. thats pretty much physically impossible.

i usually get 2-5 whips aday depending on luck, but 25 hours of actual killing without 1 whip, seems extremely fishy to me. reckon they've made some form of drop cap for specific items?

No, I believe you're just statistically unlucky. Remember; technically you're never guaranteed anything, no matter how many times you kill a monster. The drop rate is simply the probability of getting a certain drop in one kill. They're rarity is considered 'Rare' with a drop rate of 1/512 (estimation by RuneScape Wiki).

Resource(s):
http://runescape.wikia.com/wiki/Abyssal_demon

 

[0belisk]

No, I believe you're just statistically unlucky. Remember; technically you're never guaranteed anything, no matter how many times you kill a monster. The drop rate is simply the probability of getting a certain drop in one kill. They're rarity is considered 'Rare' with a drop rate of 1/512 (estimation by RuneScape Wiki).

valid point, however going by that very accurate figure of 1/512 as i assume it was from sosolid2k 10,000 abbysal demon log, from atleast 25 hours of killing them, i have averaged i believe 65 kills/hour.

= atleast 1625 kills approximately, statistically beyond conventional logic

 

[RuneWarez]

valid point, however going by that very accurate figure of 1/512 as i assume it was from sosolid2k 10,000 abbysal demon log, from atleast 25 hours of killing them, i have averaged i believe 65 kills/hour.

= atleast 1625 kills approximately, statistically beyond conventional logic

I do not know who contributed to that drop log. But the assumed formula is the probability that a monster will drop the item at least once in x kills is 1 minus the probability that it will not drop that item in x kills.

Ugh this reminds me of the quote by Edward Gibbon, "The laws of probability, so true in general, so fallacious in particular.".

 

[superman sp]

i went even longer without a whip drop

 

[911yamaha911]

ive had a similar thing happen while botting cave horrors it seems like a i get 5 masks and then it just stops and i wont get a drop for ages