Runescape 2011 - The Great Deflation

[zryii]

Posted in another thread, but I think this guy really knows what he's talking about...


What do you think is going to happen to the prices of food after Free Trade? For example, do you think lobsters or sharks are going to go up or down? I thought that they would go up since there will be a huge rush for PKing and need for food, but now I see people saying they're gonna crash. Should I sell my stock before free trade?

I remember before I quit years ago that lobsters were 300 ea. I come back and they're 200 ea. :/

 

[R2Pleasent]

Probably one of the most ignorant kids I've seen on this forum. You couldn't be more incredibly wrong.

Do you not realize, that most of the botters are p2p? Do you understand what that means? Membership. Jagex makes money from botters, as well as legit players. How many legit players do you think craft nature runes 24/7? Not many. Bots are constantly doing it. Remove bots, prices go up, etc.

They said the same thing before when they had a "mass ban". It's all a bunch of bullshit to keep the legit players, LIKE YOU, from crying it up on the forums.

rofllflflfl jagex doesn't have "superior bot catching technology", more like a human eye that can notice if you click the same spot, over and over again, with precision.

Stop complaining just because you can't accept botting.


Wrong as well. You do remember what GP prices were BEFORE the trade limit came out? 2-4 dollars a mill.

I have to disagree with this to a certain extent. I think that Jagex has some sort of plan to at least prevent the level 3 throwaway botters which ran rampant in pre-2007. These botters really cheapened the game for a lot of players, and created a lot of negative feedback. I believe there is something in store to at least prevent new accounts from trading freely. To say there will be 0 regulation on RS would be very short-sighted.

However, I also believe the days of mass RWT bans for legitimate customers are behind us. These are real players, with hard-earned money, who are so dedicated to the game that they go out and spend extra money on it. To actually BAN your most loyal customers from using your product is not the answer. They originally hoped it would deter buyers and therefore deter sellers, but it never worked. It just left a ton of their most loyal fans alienated and upset.

 

[I Peter I]

All that I will say is that every single gold seller is licking his lips because their profits are going to sky rocket. But wont more people move into the gold selling market and cause prices to drop?

 

[The Riddler_]

Wrong as well. You do remember what GP prices were BEFORE the trade limit came out? 2-4 dollars a mill.

You do know that the game has change dramatically since BEFORE the trade limit came out? Highly profitable bots have been made and numerous user use them and money is much simpler to attain nowadays. Back before RS was somewhat a challenge.

 

[pkingworrier]

R2, I've got a question I was originally going to post a thread about, but thought it to be less annoying by posting here;

What do you predict the prices of raw materials will do? I'm sure things such as lobsters will rise, as will rocktails, swordfish, etc. But I mean things not related to what is being released; More specifically yew logs. But also things like adamant ores, coal ores, flax, willow logs, hides, etc. I'd really appreciate your input on this, because at the moment I have about 20k yews sitting in my bank and I'm not sure whether or not I should wait until free trade to sell them...

 

[Klapoog]

Mass ban is coming, we will see who was right *cough* me *cough*.

FML i don't want my 10 accounts banned =D

 

[Bear in a Rum Bottle]

Couldn't of been explained any better, this answered tons of questions that were boggling in my mind.

 

[Burnley]

P hats will wise

Gold iwll be alot more easy to get a hold of and then every kid will be buying gold all to get a p hat so many kids want a p hat and with all the cheap gold available p hats as they are the best wearable rare will be in demand on every kids wish list

as for every other rare i dont sense to good for them

 

[Dreamzor]

Great post R2Pleasent.

 

[R2Pleasent]

R2, I've got a question I was originally going to post a thread about, but thought it to be less annoying by posting here;

What do you predict the prices of raw materials will do? I'm sure things such as lobsters will rise, as will rocktails, swordfish, etc. But I mean things not related to what is being released; More specifically yew logs. But also things like adamant ores, coal ores, flax, willow logs, hides, etc. I'd really appreciate your input on this, because at the moment I have about 20k yews sitting in my bank and I'm not sure whether or not I should wait until free trade to sell them...

Materials should not be majorly affected. They may see a small decline in price; yews for example seem a bit high.

P hats will wise

Gold iwll be alot more easy to get a hold of and then every kid will be buying gold all to get a p hat so many kids want a p hat and with all the cheap gold available p hats as they are the best wearable rare will be in demand on every kids wish list

as for every other rare i dont sense to good for them

Remember, no gold is created by people selling it. Party Hats right now are quite high priced already, a Blue Phat costs about $500 + 650M. That's getting close to 1 bil. I doubt we'll see them go any higher than 1 Bil each for awhile, they will likely settle well under that.

 

[pkingworrier]

Materials should not be majorly affected. They may see a small decline in price; yews for example seem a bit high.

They've already started going down... So I supposed it'd be a good idea to sell them now, correct?
Do you think prices will go to about the same as they were before? Because for some items I see them going back to the old 07' prices... Which is surprising, considering there is a lot more gold than back then...

 

[strpk191]

Party Hats right now are quite high priced already, a Blue Phat costs about $500 + 650M. That's getting close to 1 bil. I doubt we'll see them go any higher than 1 Bil each for awhile, they will likely settle well under that.

I failed to understand that .. after free trade comes out hats will either be sold for pure $ and given for free through trade, making the $ price go up, or for pure rsgp. For example, either 600$ for a white, or 1b RSGP for a white, wouldnt it?

 

[ilovetotrade]

will be alot gold farm sites competition that's another reason gp will drop.

invalid argument is invalid

 

[ilovetotrade]

will be alot gold farm sites competetion that's another reason gp will drop.

invalid argument is invalid

 

[WeRnIE]

Like all Goldfarming sites are boting not many of them are getting them in other ways, plus when free trade will come out noone will sell them accounts with GP, boting will be destroyed, GP will raise raise and raise and raise and raise and raise and then raise again.

 

[Palmer420]

I would have thought that something easier to move would be less valuable, but I'm not going to disagree due to your vast experience in this field. I'm just keeping my fingers crossed that the price of a Bandos Chestplate isn't going to rise above 20m gold at the time I purchase it. Thanks for the great post though

Easer to move means that more the demand increases with the supply staying the same which will move price up.

 

[Palmer420]

will be alot gold farm sites competetion that's another reason gp will drop.

invalid argument is invalid

I don't know what you are talking about but Pleasent was keeping up with the gold farming prior to limited trade. I remember prices were anywhere from '04 to 15.00 a mil to $7 a mil in '07. He is doing 1.8 a mil right now and prices on g/e are incredibly low. I predict that gp will go to $4 a mil and expensive g/e items will raise back to the 30%+ that most items have lost then will increase from there. Now seems like the time to buy.

 

[mike1]

I don't know what you are talking about but Pleasent was keeping up with the gold farming prior to limited trade. I remember prices were anywhere from '04 to 15.00 a mil to $7 a mil in '07. He is doing 1.8 a mil right now and prices on g/e are incredibly low. I predict that gp will go to $4 a mil and expensive g/e items will raise back to the 30%+ that most items have lost then will increase from there. Now seems like the time to buy.

Ill be selling my mills for $1.50 a mill got 1.7b to shift owwwwwwrchh

 

[ChristmasCracker]

A lot of gp will be lost when free trade comes as well.
Like you said, the 100k earth talismans will be worthless.

That will be 36.7mil in the game, gone.

Gp will be lost.
More will be traded.
Prices will up.

 

[buysell]

tbh I can see a lot more sellers entering the market, not just because of free trade, but because of the ability to make huge amounts of money very quickly through staking.

Also, the whole issue of labour costs for gp transferring will drop the prices. I really don't think the current raised price for labour is on the buyers behalf - most people simply don't give a shit if they get their gold in 1 hour or 24.