A solid 0.00045% every year? seriously?
At the rate of 3 million every year, it will take 2163 years to reach 500 million people
At the rate of 0.00045% of the general population each year, it would take 586101 years to reach 500 million people
Here are the python scripts demonstrating it:
Code:
x = 6988829030
y = 0
while x > 500000000:
xper = 0.0000045 * x
x -= xper
y += 1
print (y)
Code:
x = 6988829030
y = 0
while x > 500000000:
x -= 3000000
y += 1
print (y)
Do you think the government would plan for that period of time?
In fact, after accounting for current population growth (percentages) it would take 586103 years to reach 500 million people, and accounting for numerical growth, my computer is freezing just from calculating it. I will edit this post with the final result later on.
EDIT: Current estimates show that the human population will only even begin to decline around 9333333333333 years.
EDIT 2: New estimates, after about 30 minutes of calculations, calculated every 1000000000000000000000 years (that's 21 zeros), show that the new minimum estimate is 10^50 (that's 50 zeroes)
EDIT 3: Got a final average answer. I had to calculate in leaps of 10^308. The total amount of time it would take for HIV to reduce the population to 500 million, assuming 0.00045% total population dies from HIV annually, and the human race gives birth to 42 million people every year is 314497306350000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Years. the total age of the universe is only about 14000000000.
This calculation has an amazingly high amount of error. I have no Idea how much, but I would say as much as 50-80%
Code:
x = 6988829030
y = 0
while x > 500000000:
xgroper = 42000000
xper = 0.0000045 * x
x += xgroper
x -= xper
y += 1
print (y)
Code:
x = 6988829030
y = 0
while x > 500000000:
xgroper = 0.012*x
xper = 0.0000045 * x
x += xgroper
x -= xper
y += 1
print (y)
So once again, why do you think the government would plan for 500000 years into the future - a time at which we will no longer qualify as homo-sapient any more, but something else?
Forgive me, but you have just been
PWNED!