Global warming

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Global warming
  1. Unread #81 - Oct 3, 2008 at 11:41 AM
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    Global warming

    My ref is from http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ozone... There might be future technology that might bounce the ultra violet rays back into the sun.. My sister is a chemist she understands this.
     
  3. Unread #82 - Oct 3, 2008 at 1:12 PM
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    Global warming

    And what would that prove? :rolleyes:
     
  5. Unread #83 - Oct 3, 2008 at 1:29 PM
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    Global warming

    It's a conspiracy! They tell us the temp is increasing, where actually nothing is happening. It's an excuse to charge more for thier shit. Rawwwr! GovHax.
     
  7. Unread #84 - Oct 3, 2008 at 1:50 PM
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    Global warming

    You know there's something wrong with the User Educator forum when...

    ;)

    Here's a good Wiki quote on anthropogenic global warming:

    Code:
    With the July 2007 release of the revised statement by the American Association of Petroleum Geologists, no remaining scientific body of national or international standing is known to reject the basic findings of human influence on recent climate.
    The more recent satellite data and direct surface measurements compared:

    [​IMG]
     
  9. Unread #85 - Oct 3, 2008 at 3:48 PM
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    Global warming

    i heard that a single volcanoe causes more pollution than mankind has ever made if this is true why should we care? (btw im not sure if thisis true)
     
  11. Unread #86 - Oct 3, 2008 at 5:07 PM
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    Global warming


    1. http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/wor...petition-denying-man-made-global-warming.html

    2. Your graph is still a tiny slice of world climate history. This is like taking 0.001% of the population and noticing that he is malnourished then decrying a famine. Its simply not true.
     
  13. Unread #87 - Oct 3, 2008 at 6:07 PM
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    Global warming

    It isn't true.

    The Oregon Petition (albeit, version 2) is a piece of trash. It started off in 1997 as a paper masquerading as a peer-reviewed NAS paper, but was in fact written by a biochemist with no relevant expertise. Most of the "scientists" signatories are regular people with degrees in subjects that are barely relevant. Precious few are climatologists. Check out what fields those PhDs are in. Arthur Robinson won't even release the figures of how many "scientists" they've mailed the petition to, because it happens to be the most powerful piece of evidence to prove the scientific consensus on global warming. About 0.001% of those eligible to sign the petition have indeed signed.

    General debunking of the petition:

    ~sciam

    Note that the OISM is in no way affiliated with the Oregon Health and Science University.

    Let's zoom out then, 1000 years:

    [​IMG]

    In what way is going further back going to help your argument?
     
  15. Unread #88 - Oct 3, 2008 at 6:26 PM
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    Global warming

    Evidence?

    It doesn't matter. It is still a group of scientists in opposition. And there are others. So your claim that all climate scientist groups are in agreement is patently false.

    In so far that global climate changes on a scale of millions of years. And that it is a fallacy to present a much smaller timeslice as evidence.

    [​IMG]

    I'll ask you again: Do you have any evidence that average global temperatures have ever been above 25 degrees Celsius in the past billion years? Even during the periods that there were of orders of magnitude higher CO2 saturation than today?
     
  17. Unread #89 - Oct 3, 2008 at 6:32 PM
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    Global warming

    Humanjs are defiantely responsible.. we are polluting too much
     
  19. Unread #90 - Oct 3, 2008 at 6:54 PM
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    Global warming

    I'm just going to start banning people who spam this forum with opinion. It isn't an opinion forum.
     
  21. Unread #91 - Oct 3, 2008 at 7:16 PM
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    Global warming

    Think of it this way: if volcanic emissions were the cause of global warming, there would be huge leaps in CO2 concentrations over short periods of time in the record (something that isn't observed). As for other types of pollution, we know that CFCs destroy the ozone layer, human activity is what has caused the worst of the acid rain etc... The claim that one volcano causes more pollution than humans have ever made is clearly rubbish.

    It's a group of random people with degrees who have signed a petition. They are not a scientific body.

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Scientific_opinion_on_climate_change

    What do you think you are proving here? There was a whole different set of variables to consider. The continents were arranged differently, the temperatures could have been influenced by the movement of the solar system through the galactic spiral arms! Over a long time, the Sun is also a major factor in the Earth's climate.

    It's a completely different ballgame. What you've posted falls under paleoclimatology.

    I never suggested anything of the sort, so why should I have to provide evidence? What are you trying to prove with this graph? Tell me what fallacy in what I'm saying the graph demonstrates.
     
  23. Unread #92 - Oct 3, 2008 at 7:55 PM
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    Global warming

    That's simply untrue.

    http://www.cmar.csiro.au/e-print/open/greenhouse_2000e.htm

    Volcanoes spit sulfur dioxide on a scale many times larger than that of humans. Sulfur dioxide is the cause of acid rain.

    Ozone depletion I have not researched heavily, but I do know the chemistry of ozone formation. And it seems to me that the poles would naturally have less ozone because they receive less sunlight. In any case, the holes are still growing even since the treaties on CFC prohibition. Maybe this is a first or second derivative effect -- I don't know.


    A scientific body is exactly a 'random' group of people with degrees. What else would it be?

    What I am proving here is that the earth's temperature has never risen to catastrophic levels, even when the saturation of CO2 and water were at massively higher levels than today. In short, the greenhouse effect appears to have a counterbalance, if it exists at all, which equalizes global temperature. That is the only explanation for a stable temperature under changing solar and chemical conditions.

    In fact all the evidence I have seen suggest that the real danger is falling into an ice age. Global temperature has never risen past 25 degrees Celsius in the past billion years, but it sure as hell as fallen to levels which would see most crops ungrowable anywhere other than the equator.

    In other words, a set of variables worse than those predicted have already come and gone -- the experiment has already been run. Consider if all of the continents were grouped together near the south pole, then there would be a lot more ocean in direct sunlight, which means a lot more atmosphereic water vapour. That combined with all that CO2 would be a much meaner greenhouse effect than the supposed effect we are wittenessing today. And yet the temperature capped off at 22 degrees.

    What I am saying is we've already had many periods of high greenhouse gas saturation, and they have not lead to the proposed severe consequences of global warming. On the contratry, they basically cap off at 22 degrees regardless of how saturated the atmosphere becomes.

    For you to present a graph of only hundreds or thousands of years is a fallacy because the implication is that the presented evidence is sufficent to back your claim when the climate movements being discussed happen on a much larger scale of hundreds of millions of years.
     
  25. Unread #93 - Oct 3, 2008 at 9:05 PM
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    Global warming

    The Fat Controller,

    Do you want to know a secret?
    Even if man made global warming were true, and even if the global temperature is were not automatically capped, and even if all of the predictions were correct it would still not bother me.

    Why? Why would this not bother me?

    Because the effects of global warming manifest so slowly. It is not like a huge storm which destroys everything in a single day. We are talking about very slight increases in mean temperature over the course of decades.

    Consider how quickly technology is evolving. There is a technology/science called permaculture which is concerned with creating artificial environments to increase the yield and rate of crop growth.

    If the amount of arable land in the world begins to shrink by increment due to climate change, a demand for permaculture will result. The increased demand will be met by supply on the open market. By the time even the most drastic climate change has come about, assuming an immensely slow rate thereof, the market will have already provided the alternative.

    The same is true of peak oil and all manner of other political scare campaigns. Oil won't run out over night. As it becomes more sacare, alternative fuels become more viable. The market adapts naturallly as young entrepreneurs get out there with new innovations and ideas trying to make their fortunes.

    So even in the worst case scenario the necessary solution is going to occur naturally. There is, therefore, absolutely no justification for the use of force against developing nations who need to use their natural resources to accrue greatly needed capital reserves.

    An enforced global carbon tax will very likely result in another hundred years of absolute poverty for half of the world's population. Consider the consequences.

    There is a very simple way to avoid making these sort of mistakes in all matters: The initation of violence against others is never the correct course of action.

    If you follow this one principle in all things you will find peaceful solutions present themselves naturally.
     
  27. Unread #94 - Oct 3, 2008 at 9:57 PM
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    Global warming

    Your Co2 graph is in itself a fallacy, for the opposite reasons of the previous ones mentioned.

    It will not show true temperature gain and probably has the resolution of thousands of years averaged together. So in truth, when you pose your question if there's any evidence of exceeding X degrees, you are really asking if there was ever thousands of consecutive years that averaged this amount.

    For example: You can't see the last Ice age on it, because the timespan of the last ice age was small.

    The trouble with HIGH rates of climate change, is that animals cannot adapt to it fast enough, and thus species diversity is lost, EVEN when it's just a "few degrees" in a decade.

    It's weird. This monday our school is having GreenWash Day, or Climate and Policy change day. I will be sure to ask why co2 levels were 20X higher 500 million years ago, yet ice ages and heat waves were still occuring. I'll let you know the outcome of the question from the supposed "professionals"
     
  29. Unread #95 - Oct 3, 2008 at 10:18 PM
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    Global warming

    Its not a few degrees in a decade. Its a few degrees in a century. And the reason the little iceage cannot be seen on a proper graph is precisely that. It wasn't a big event. It wasn't significant as compared with a massive iceage wherein the global temperature halves for a period of millions of years.

    Species die, the world changes. Evolution continues. It is an illusion to believe you exist in a static relationship with nature. You exist as part of nature, and nature is ever-changing. It is even more of an illusion to believe you have any sort of significant impact on nature. Humans are still fighting for survival against nature. If we had control over nature, then there wouldn't be a problem.

    But of course all that is beside the point. The manmade global warming proponents want to use violence to enslave people to their doctrine. And that is obviously unethical and undesirable.
     
  31. Unread #96 - Oct 3, 2008 at 10:35 PM
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    Global warming

    The temperature change in the recent ice age was significantly high, but the longevity was not. Likewise, the change in the last decades is MUCH higher than recorded previously, but has no context when compared to earth's last billion years.

    Humans can't really be considered an integral part of a balanced nature/ecosystem. Our evolution is special, superior in many sorts. We have caused extinction rates much higher than the previous thousands if not millions of years.
     
  33. Unread #97 - Oct 3, 2008 at 10:47 PM
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    Global warming

    No. Temperature is on the Y axis. You can't see it because it was an insignificant drop in temperature.

    Humans are part of nature if you like it or not.

    As you can see by the graph I've been referring you to, we are still in what is technically an iceage. Its a good thing we are heading back into warmer territory. All those higher and lower latitudes will become habitable again. More land to grow more crops means more humans, more prosperity.

    Effectively it comes down to this: You don't have the right to stop people from taking what naturally occurs and transforming it into things of value. And even if man made global warming were more than a greasy political scare campaign to implement a new tax, it wouldn't matter. It wouldn't make you correct in condemning billions to absolute poverty at the point of a gun.
     
  35. Unread #98 - Oct 3, 2008 at 10:52 PM
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    Global warming

    This is where you are factually wrong. The reason why you can't see the value is because it DOESN'T occupy a long timespan, and thus when averaged in, does not really affect the temperature graphed.

    If it was truly insignificant, than we should be seeing a warming trend after it, not a cooling one.
     
  37. Unread #99 - Oct 3, 2008 at 11:32 PM
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    Global warming

    What?

    You are talking about a tiny spike in a huge graph. Spikes are common in nature but often do not affect the overall trend.

    Does anyone actually have any rational argument to bring to the table on this topic? Or are we going to sit here and discuss the equivalent of a small bump on the side of mount everest?

    As I have been saying: There is no reason to assume global temperatures will ever rise above 25 degrees Celsius while the planet's distance from the sun, the sun's radiance, and the chemical composition of the earth stay within the limits of the past billion years.

    So, if the worst we have to fear is a temperature rise to 25 degrees, then what's all the fuss about? A warmer climate sounds pretty good to me, personally. I'm sure the Russians would enjoy being able to grow crops on their frozen rock hard land.
     
  39. Unread #100 - Oct 4, 2008 at 2:54 AM
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    Global warming

    "The exact number of volcanoes is unknown. It also depends on the definition of a "volcano": for instance, there are "volcanic fields" that comprise hundreds of individual eruption centers (such as conder cones, maars, shield volcanoes) that are all relataed to the same magma chamber and that may or not be counted as a single "volcano".
    There are probably millions of volcanoes that have been active during the whole lifespan of the earth. During the past 10,000 years, there are about 1500 volcanoes on land that are known to have have been active, while the even larger number of submarine volcanoes is unknown. At present, there are about 600 volcanoes that have had known eruptions during recorded history, while about 50-70 volcanoes are active (erupting) each year. At any given time, there is an average of about 20 volcanoes that are erupting."

    Summary: There's lots of volcanoes, lots of eruptions per day.

    Source; http://www.volcanodiscovery.com/volcano-tours/volcanoes/faq/how_many_volcanoes.html

    Here is the chemicals thrown out by an average volcano.

    [​IMG]

    And here is a graph showing that the earth is cyclical.
    [​IMG]

    Draw your own conclusions.

    It's what our brains were made for.
     
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