From what I've noticed, Pardons have been posted on generally more than they have before.
Of all the pardons I've seen, they're denied due to a lot of no supports, or a single no support, either way the chances they were going to get pardoned were slim to none.
Also, all the ones that usually garner supports, get through till 5 supports or get denied because they read a majority of no supports.
I've seen maybe one pardon that I can remember get denied with only 4 supports, and I left it with a bump for an extra day or two for any remaining staff who didn't see it before it was denied.