Academy Awards / Oscars - Who will win?

Since we are only 2 weeks and couple of days away from Oscars, I thought making a thread about it.
The top nominees this year are:

"Black Swan" (5 nominations)
"The Fighter"(7 nominations)
"Inception" (8 nominations)
"The King's Speech" (12 nominations)
"127 Hours" (6 nominations)
"The Social Network" (8 nominations)
and "True Gift" (10 nominaitons)

So, who you think will get the most awards?
And which movie will get the Best Picture award?

Myself I've seen all those movies listed above, really enjoyed them all.

Even though The Social Network got the most awards at Golden Globes, I seriosly doubt if it's going to success as good in Oscars because I find Golden Globe winner movies always to be more "media sexy" than actually good as films.

Inceptions a good film, good performances from actors, but there were parts that made me feel I would be watching McGyver.

I enjoyed watching Black Swan, and this is one serious Best Picture nominee.

The King's Speech
eh.. Maybe this will win? Got only 1 award from 7 nominations at Globes..
I didn't enjoy watching this very much, but I didn't enjoy watching last years winner, "The Hurt Locker" either..

True Grit
Liked this movie, will be getting awards.

The Fighter
I didn't like this movie, maybe it's because I hate Mark Wahlberg.. don't know.
But other people seem to like it so.. why not?

127 Hours
This is my favourite.
One of the best actor performances in a loooong time.
I was quite disappointed in 6 nominations, but atleast the most important is there. :')

This was my point of view about Oscars, you post yours now. ;')

 

I hope inception does well these awards..

 

Unfortunately I only have seen "The Social Network" and "Inception" in that list. The Social Network was a terrific movie, I wasn't really an Inception fan. Don't get me wrong, the movie was great, I just didn't like it for no apparent reason. I will edit this post in the near future when I watch more movies on the list.

 

Did you mean 'True Grit' not true gift

and that film to me was 80% inaudible , his has such a strong accent
I hope that the kings speech does well out of the noms, I though it was amazing.

 

Failed.

 

Inception should do well