The Interception breakdown

Everyone criticizes the decision to throw instead of run on that down. What people fail to take into account however is that they were passing because there was so little time left. If they ran and failed the clock would still be ticking and effectively they would be forced to use their last time out with it being only 3rd down. I saw someone claim that there were 107 passes thrown from the 1 this season and not one had been intercepted at that point (didn't verify this and can't remember the exact place but it was on patsfans.com - sounds about right though). If that stat is true then it's either a complete pass or incomplete pass - no risk.

This is what Russel saw as he threw it, I would have thrown that route too.



It wasn't a bad call with Seattle simply losing the game rather than the Patriots winning it, it was just a great play by an undrafted rookie free agent.

 

Still would have run it. 1000 times out of 1000 would have run it.

I forget what the numbers were for Lynch in short yardage situations (and the Pats D in short yardage situations), but it was staggering in terms of being the highly favorable play.

How anyone could trust Russell Wilson over Beast Mode is beyond me.

Yeah, worst case scenario they lose their last timeout. Maybe then you try the pass. Hindsight may be 20/20 but there's no way I'm trusting anyone not named Marshawn Lynch in that scenario.

It's hard to be content with the loss for Seattle fans because they gave themselves less of a chance to win, in the mind of many. At least if Beast Mode was stopped, it'd have been less excruciating of a loss, knowing your best offensive player got the ball.

http://regressing.deadspin.com/stop-trying-to-convince-yourselves-seattles-pass-call-w-1683463031

Good article on it.

 

They should of just ran it and as Duke said, why trust Russell when they could of handed it to Beast Mode! Anyways, Cowboys would have crushed both teams hands down! They should of been there! really a shame!

 

1 yard. Best running back... hmmm...

 

This shouldn't even be a question!

Run with Lynch! Personnel on field aside, he's the best power back in the NFL.

 

lynch was supposedly 1 for 5 for goal line rushing TD's. the numbers were pointing towards throw it. realistically that would have been an easy TD had butler not made that incredible play

 

The last two Super Bowls with highly questionable things that went down... It was rigged... The illuminati!!! But seriously though... that is such a low chance that there are seconds left and they're so close and they "decide" to throw the ball which, just so happens that it was intercepted.... wtf??

 

Good play call, bad execution. However, I would've ran Lynch one more time, then woulda passed. Honestly, I woulda ran a stretch/read play action and threw over middle.

Jack, if you honestly see that picture frame as open...you need to re-evaluate your football reading skills. You can see the safety planting his back foot and is like 5 yards away from the WR. Wilson didn't really read it, just kinda took his drop and threw. I know you well enough to know that NFL athletes are crazy athletic and fast. To get from where he is to the goal line takes .2 seconds.

 

The safety isn't moving whereas the WR is already in stride. There's no way the safety can magically beat the WR there.

I assume you are talking about the CB #21 as the safety is the one in front of the ref. It is a no read play, just throw it. At the end of the day there's still plenty of room to squeeze that in. Probably would have been better if placed a little more on back shoulder but the WR didn't really even fight for the ball. This is Seattle, a team that is supposedly so physical with a WR that is 6'2, getting thrown to the ground by a 5'11 CB. The WR just didn't fight for it really.

 

You're right, I linked this last week

http://fivethirtyeight.com/features...-of-the-super-bowl-and-it-wasnt-pete-carroll/

Part of the thing is actually is they had TOO much time. They know how good lynch is. If they scored the next down they wouldve given the pats 20ish secs with 2 timeouts to kick a field goal. I think Petes thought was the risk of that was far larger then the chance of an interception.

 

Honestly the obvious thing to do is run to score, sometimes asap. But, they wanted to leave little time, a short pass that they can rely on Russel to make or just throw out of bounds after a couple seconds was ideal.. then just run for the TD and close the time for the win. An interception occuring for such a simple play was the last thing on their mind.

Yes, the play call might just be blatantly idiotic, but Wilson made the decision where the ball should go, he threw that pick.

 

Also I feel like regardless of whether a pass was justified, I don't think that that particular play was a good one. Since he had lynch if he was gunna run a pass he shouldve been under center and done a play action..something like a bootleg or something. Not go shotgun pass lol

 

Yeah CB #21 I meant. He's in position the whole time. Great read and play on the ball. Closing speed was 100%.

 

Think of it this way: what if he had caught the ball and it was a touchdown? Would the play that was called still be a bad decision?

I obviously think they should have ran the ball with Lynch, but seeing as Russell Wilson is the poster boy for the Seahawks and Marshawn is on his way out of Seattle, they're going to let Wilson have all the glory.

 

Yeah, from the one yard line there had been 100+ throws with 66 tds and 0 ints to that point. There had also been 200 plus runs and 2 fumbles. I believe the throwing was on average 3% more effective.

This situation kind of reminds me of the pats decision to go for it on 4 and 2 instead of punting and ended up losing the game. If you crunch the numbers it was the right call to make, but by football logic it made no sense to do it.

 

Actually they're planning on giving Marshawn a big contract to stay in Seattle for the rest of his career.

 

Thought I'd class this thread up a bit... And @ loyal, good point... Beast mode is by no means a sure thing at the goal line, it's probably one of the weakest aspects of his game. LT at the one > everyone else.

 

Jack the way you put it made sense, but common it's 2nd down with like a yard or 2 left, why not run it and do the last pass if anything to win the game. if it was 3rd down i'd see why they would throw it instead of pass. In my opinion if they ran it, Seattle would've won.

 

This I didn't understand, at all.

Not only did Blount do absolutely nothing to help the Patriots win that game (on the contrary, getting stuffed on big 3rd downs all night), but he is nowhere near as good as Marshawn Lynch. He never will be either.