H / C probability help

This tool will help you make yourself a better choice of wagering on the h/c game. This method will use the doubling money trick explained below:



Many people are losing their bank because the can't handle their own mind while betting. I've made a simple excel sheet for anyone who wants to gamble more responsible, less change off losing is almost guaranteed when you use this method wisely. Below a pic of the sheet having a 1B bank with a 8M first bet.


As you see it's quite stupid to start betting 8M while having max 1B, 6 loss streaks and you're not able to double you money.

- This sheet excludes change of white and black flower.
- I'm not responsible for any loses while you're betting on h / c

Download link

Reply if you made nay profit with this

Enjoy!​

 

But this is basing each roll of the other, which is false. Each roll is independent and you have the same odds of loosing every time. I do not recommend this method

 

True, each roll has the same chance. This sheet tells your losing chance after a certain consecutive rolls. If you roll 5 times the chance off loosing is 0.5714 ^ 5 which is 6.09% as shown in my sheet.

Cheers!

 

That's why you start with 1m!

 

wow at 14 streak.. its 0.04!!!!!

thats how i got cleaned, i got the host to 12x hot streak, i bet purp phat lost... 13x hot streak, i bet white phat.. cleaned lol, he got cold at 15th plant but i was already cleaned by then

^ frosty flowers in fishy btw not hot/cold

 

Not sure why you think it is 5.

8+16+32+64+128= 248

You wouldn't be cleaned; 752m left if you start with 1b

 

My mistake, it was after 6, 504M.

Edited in post, thx!

 

I once calculated my odds of getting cleaned like this too. This is just kinda risky and can only earn you lots of money if you got infinite cash.

 

Not a bad spreadsheet. I'm glad you didn't comment like "if there were 5 hots in a row the next one is gonna be cold". So many people say this and it annoys me, the color of the flower is not conditional to the previous color therefore the probability of getting another hot after your 5 hots in a row is the same probability as getting a cold.

 

True, this is why hosts earn tons of cash. It's funny how gamble addicts are making them self believe their own predictions without back it up with facts or some thinking.

Cheers!

 

im an host in a fc and youd be surprised at how many people start betting you after like 4-5 hots in a row going in for the almighty "snipe" lol.